A few people I know asked me about housing in the Grand Forks area this last week. I haven’t talked about it lately so I thought it would be good to put up a chart.
Grand Forks Housing Prices
Guest hosting radio again
I will be guest hosting the Jarrod Thomas Show again today from 9-11am. 1310 AM Grand Forks. Talking local taxation, interviewing North Dakota’s Congressman, and taking your questions.
Good forecasting is not about getting it right the first time
I was a guest on the Jay Thomas Show on WDAY radio out of Fargo today. The guest host was Rob Port from the SayAnythingBlog, Forum Communications Op-Ed pages, TV appearances, and probably a bunch of stuff I am forgetting. He might be getting close to the title of “King of All North Dakota Media” at this point. The topic was forecasting. Yes I know. Friday afternoon in the summer and we were talking forecasting. I do not apologize for it, since I am pretty much always thinking about statistical models.
Continue reading Good forecasting is not about getting it right the first time
OASDI and Workers per Retiree
I enjoyed my guest hosting duties on the radio today and wanted to follow-up on a question from a caller. The caller wanted to know how many people were currently working and paying into Social Security and if the number were lower than in the past and, as a result, causing some of the financial woes for the program. Actually the number of workers paying in right now is the highest it has been, but what I told the caller to pay attention to was the number or workers per retiree, or beneficiary. The OASDI trustees report (available here) gives all this information, but I boiled it down to a simple graph.
Want Technical Forecast Info? Read Dave Giles’ Blog
Several former students asked questions about forecasting performance and I assume it has to do with my recent post about the performance of the forecast of North Dakota sales tax. As they well know and a quick investigation would make clear, there is no shortage of discussion of these issues. The student know this, it is one of the things I tell them is constantly updated in the field.
Continue reading Want Technical Forecast Info? Read Dave Giles’ Blog