Barter is Evil

I decided to further look at yield spreads and put a bit of a local spin on it by adding in the element of North Dakota oil production. I am trying to figure out if rates and rate movements impact the oil industry in North Dakota. The interesting thing here is that the cost structure of the firms is really different.

December 5, 2018

Yield Spreads

Monetary policy

With the discussion of the Federal Reserve and policy decisions coming back in front of the national debate these days it seems some more interest rate data would be good to review. The fiscal-monetary dynamic seems destined to be re-opened with lots of questions about the appropriate stance of policies, sequence of policies, and of course the incessant whining about policies (mostly monetary).

November 28, 2018

Brexit Getting Interesting

So there will be a vote December 11 on the Brexit deal and the current position is amazingly uncertain. I must say this is a terribly interesting watch. Most people who know me understand I am not interested in this from the perspective of the various implications (right now). My biggest interest is in the negotiating tactics, or lack thereof.

November 26, 2018

Accepted to #PAA2019 !

My paper examining the fertility impacts of the oil boom in North Dakota was accepted at the Population Association of America’s 2019 meeting! I am psyched beyond belief. The paper looks at oil price and quantity effects and determines their distinct impact on fertility in North Dakota prior to and during the boom. Maybe the most exciting aspect is the session for the paper.

November 7, 2018

Focus Economics: Next Crisis

Economics

I am quoted in this article from Focus Economics about the next financial crisis and where it will originate and when. It posted last week but I have been so busy working on a presentation for a conference and other research items like a population projection that I forgot to post the link.