Just some musings and thoughts related to oil and fertility in North Dakota.
Oil Boom but no baby boom in ND?
Tax Policy and User Experience
The issues the public has with the outcomes of the tax act suggest a need for more attention to the user experience in the formulation of economic policies.
Births to Married and Unmarried Women in ND
So the population projection is going and as we work along with it you get to look at some data you did not look at in a while. Lots of recent discussion for us focuses on fertility and fertility modeling. Specifically we are trying to determine various determining factors related to births for North Dakota. This is important given the recent booms in certain sectors and in certain regions of the state.
Continue reading Births to Married and Unmarried Women in NDPredicting the State of the Union Impacts
I am teaching forecasting this semester and trying to show the students that forecasting is also a thought process and a state mind. So I thought some predictions about sectors impacted by the State of the Union speech would be a good exercise. I pick three sectors likely to be impacted: agriculture, energy, and construction. Why these three?
Continue reading Predicting the State of the Union ImpactsEmployment Gains in ND
So I am quoted in this story from the Grand Forks Herald about tax policy changes and employment changes in the state of North Dakota(Link). I thought I would extend my thoughts here. Of all the policies to attempt to heap credit upon for employment gains in the state the tax changes seem to me the least likely. What is more likely?
Continue reading Employment Gains in ND