I decided to further look at yield spreads and put a bit of a local spin on it by adding in the element of North Dakota oil production. I am trying to figure out if rates and rate movements impact the oil industry in North Dakota. The interesting thing here is that the cost structure of the firms is really different.Continue reading Yield Spreads and North Dakota Oil
My paper examining the fertility impacts of the oil boom in North Dakota was accepted at the Population Association of America’s 2019 meeting! I am psyched beyond belief. The paper looks at oil price and quantity effects and determines their distinct impact on fertility in North Dakota prior to and during the boom. Maybe the most exciting aspect is the session for the paper.Continue reading Accepted to #PAA2019 !
As part of the undergraduate population analysis class we obviously took a look at fertility calculations. I brought in some data for the class to look at after consulting a bit about which states to choose. A big theme had been social norms and behaviors and how they can, can mind you, show up in data about fertility.Continue reading Total Fertility Rate in Select States (from class)
The Federal Reserve seems likely to continue raising rates into the foreseeable future making it a likely candidate for the ire of President Trump. The irony is that the President’s own trade policies likely make the Fed take actions to increase rates.Continue reading Trade Policy, Fed Policy, and North Dakota
So an ongoing project that is taking a significant amount of my time (and thus taking time away from blogging) is executing a full population projection for North Dakota for the next 50 years. There seem to be some special issues when looking at the state level, for a small population state.Continue reading Population Projection for ND