As part of my look ahead for the year I got to wondering about the presidential election cycle and how it might influence the numbers.
I get asked questions around the timing of COVID economic recovery often and this post shows a bit about my approach to answering the question. It is part of a bigger research project of mine as well.
Back after a long hiatus due to health and adjustments. Time to discuss the pressing economic and demographic issues in ND again. Starting with the low hanging fruit of the unemployment rate.
I look at the North Dakota total tax revenues over the 24 month biennium window for the current and past nine biennia. There are some seasonal patterns that come to light as well as some exceptional months for certain biennia (outliers?). I look at the accumulated total revenues over the biennia as well to look at the path of biennial fiscal revenues.
There is naturally a great deal of interest in the situation of the labor market and the Fed funds rate so I thought to look at some ND labor market measures and the funds rate.