What happens in North Dakota when the yield curve inverts? The answer is not at all clear from a first look.
North Dakota and US Recession
I take a look at how North Dakota fares during recent US recessions. The answer is: pretty well.
Rumors of our recession have been greatly exaggerated
What better way to start a discussion about a mistaken declaration of recession in North Dakota than with a misquote of Twain. For those interested the actual quote from Twain was “The report of my death was an exaggeration.” We have to be very careful here and define terms well to have a meaningful discussion about this. This is not meant as a “rah-rah” piece and suggest that everything is, or will be, alright. That said, I do not think the North Dakota economy is currently in recession. Nor do I think it will be this year. However, I would agree that the risks of a recession for this year, and the next, increased.
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