North Dakota COVID Update, 08 November 2020

The COVID-19 situation is still not looking good in the state. We are seeing the various metrics continue to move in the wrong direction.

The positivity rate for susceptible test encounters continues to increase. The 15-day MA is well above 12.5% and the 7-day MA is above 15%. These thresholds are important indicators of the level of community spread and the risks in the region.

I also took a look at the number of individuals tested, that is, only counting a person once, regardless of how many times they tested and the positive outcomes, both as a percentage of the overall population. If we keep going in the future the way the last 7 days went, it will be about 16 days before we cross the 10% mark for positives as a share of state population. The problem is the rate appears to be accelerating right now so it may come before that.

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