The state updates the positivity data daily at around 11, so to the extent my schedule allows I will update in the afternoon. Here are the updated graphs for data released 10-20-2020.
ND-COVID Cases, Updated 20 October 2020
County Covid Cases, ND
I decided to look at positive cases by county over time but with some sense of the amount of testing. This is the result.
ND COVID-19 Moving Averages
With ND daily COVID-19 positivity rates fluctuating so much I created a 14-day centered moving average and overlaid it on the daily values to look at trends and smooth out the volatility.
The Survivors’ Luxury
The fact is it is only those that survived to this point that can even have the debate about the costs to the economy. That should be remembered.
Retail Pull Factors and Shutdown
I am starting to look at a predictive model for decline and recovery in North Dakota due to energy prices and COVID-19. This is some of my early thinking.